I am a LoTG+7.5 rollin MACHINE


Rodion

 

Posted

Since Friday night, I've made around 10 random recipe rolls at level 50. Two red side, rest blue side.

I have gotten four LoTG+7.5's and two Numina+regens from this.

I think I'm bugged.

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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Satanic_Hamster View Post
Since Friday night, I've made around 10 random recipe rolls at level 50. Two red side, rest blue side.

I have gotten four LoTG+7.5's and two Numina+regens from this.
Well, you got me beat.

On Sunday I rolled one LotG: +Recharge redside (out of 8 rolls) and about an hour later I rolled two more back-to-back Blueside out of 3 rolls.

Considering that people are probably making hundreds of thousands of rolls, it's not unexpected when things are truly random.


 

Posted

Hmmm.

See, this is what I'm curious on. Is this bugged? I've gotten streaks like this in the past (ie, got 2-4 of the same awesome recipe), but all when making the rolls at the same time, not spread out over days.

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Chief Hamster of the Fist of Justice / Shadows of Victory
Victory Server: Join Victory Forum for team forming and general game chat and IRC Chat: irc.hashmark.net #victory for offline chatting.
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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Satanic_Hamster View Post
See, this is what I'm curious on. Is this bugged? I've gotten streaks like this in the past (ie, got 2-4 of the same awesome recipe), but all when making the rolls at the same time, not spread out over days.
It might be a bug, but probably not.

If these are truly independent events, then every time you make a roll, you have exactly the same chance to get a particular result. That means it's not necessarily wrong that I got two LotG: +Recharges in a row, and it's not wrong that you have a number of them spread out over many other rolls over several days.

Look at it this way: let's say that in one day players make 200,000 rare recipe rolls. And let's say that the chance of rolling a LotG: +Recharge is 1 out of 500. That means that the expected number each day is 400.

If you happened to get four of them and I got three of them, that doesn't necessarily mean that there's a bug. It just means you and I happened to get 7 out of the 400 that got rolled.

If you got one every day for four days in a row, that also doesn't mean anything, as long as 400 plus or minus a couple dozen are rolled by the system each day.

Now let's say that 1,000 LotG: +recharges get rolled every day, day after day, and the expected number is only 400 (1 in 500 chance). Or you rolled one every day for three weeks in a row, even through you only rolled two or three times a day. Or everyone who rolled randomly got similar repetitions of identical rolls. Those would likely be bugs because the probabilities of those events is extremely low.


 

Posted

Something is up: Got 3 purple drops on one character in the same day. Was either Saturday or Sunday.

I AIN'T COMPLAINING!


I've already forgotten about most of you